A study published in 2021 by Tom Davidson of Open Philanthropy, a grantmaking outfit, puts a more than 10% chance on " explosive growth" —defined as increases in global output of more than 30% a year—sometime this century.
捐赠机构 Open Philanthropy 的汤姆·戴维森 (Tom Davidson) 于 2021 年发表的一项研究显示，本世纪某个时候出现“爆炸性增长” （定义为全球产出每年增长 30% 以上）的可能性超过 10%。