Silk flows In India and South-East Asia, " you've still got urbanisation happening, and capital follows those trends, " says Raghu Narain of Natixis, an investment bank.
In a report released on February 14th Natixis estimated that the gap was almost $68bn in 2020 (roughly 0.5% of China's gdp), despite the sharp drop in travel.
Natixis, an investment bank, expects semiconductor demand to remain subdued until at least next summer; rate-setters at the Federal Reserve, and China's public-health bosses, may remain cautious for even longer.
Natixis is a French corporate and investment bank created in November 2006 from the merger of the asset management and investment banking operations of Natexis Banque Populaire (Banque Populaire group) and IXIS (Groupe Caisse d'Epargne).
Groupe BPCE owns more than 70% of Natixis while the remaining float is listed on the Paris Stock Exchange.